Sent: Thursday, January 12, 2012 10:41 PM
Subject: jyi # 48A Women Rule The World
jewsyonkersislam# 46A Women Rule The World
jyi # 48A Women Rule The World
The feminine (x), through the collective feminine (all the x-es in women [xx] and men [xy]), rules the world. But the feminine, woman, does so through men. When men are not being men, but -like today- ever-lazier, irresponsible, effeminate and emasculated, you can bet that the collective feminine is at work. Both reacting against such and causing it to worsen -by making women try to become men and making more men and women "become" gays, lesbians, bisexuals, transgenders and worse- for its own purposes.. The GLAAD... group (along with ALL men and women, to a greater or lesser degree) can well be termed -in today's politically correct terms- sexual-identity challenged.
Below is a continuation of a sub-series on my blog (jewsyonkersislamiii-tc. blogspot.com)
subtitled : contingencies threaten U.S.
Further below are comments on today's news and some articles, AS I HAVE EDITED THEM , including some excerpts from my journal, my blog or my musings of more than a few years ago. And a critique of today's news
Contingencies that directly threaten the U.S. homeland ; Climate Change, Migration, and Conflict Rethinking the global economy in 2012 ; World’s fifteen most powerful countries in 2012 ; oil, gas, coal... business It is disgusting, revolting, stupid...that we continue to support the use of oil, gas, coal...today. You'd think that those who drill for oil...would realize that they too -and their children, families...- are being given heart and lung disease, cancers, genetic damage...from breathing polluted air, drinking polluted water, eating polluted food, playing on polluted grounds... ; DOOMSDAY CLOCK ; European Central Bank says things are better ? Rubbish ; Obama is a doddering old woman ;
1-12-12
TODAY THERE ARE LOTS OF SELF-&-OTHER-REINFORCING BITS OF NEWS, ALL POINTING TO THE SAME OVERALL CONCLUSION : THE HUMAN RACE IS ON THE BRINK OF EXTINCTION UNLESS WE RADICALLY CHANGE THE WAY WE THINK AND ACT.
New York Times (NYT), A10, A23 We all look for self-preservation and self-justification (self-identity). And that often includes retribution and revenge, even if it is misguided or wrong. To form our personal identities we are reliant on "not-Is" and stereotypes (definitions), even if they are wrong -and such unavoidably leads to excess. As when we look to blame someone for what is wrong/not right in our lives. And the Jews -as Jews- have been bogus -but very convenient- scapegoats for thousands of years. Of course I am not excusing any bad things individual Jews may have done.
NYT, A10, B3, B1, B8 Italy's leader wants more money from Germany or its "political and economic situation" will "deteriorate rapidly" -but Germany is falling too. Indeed, Europe will most likely collapse any day now. In truth, it already has but public acknowledgement of such by our incompetent feminist-faggot world leaders has not yet been made. The US Fed says the economy is growing while we just had the largest surge in unemployment claims in the past six weeks. (What are the people at the Fed smoking anyhow ?)
NYT, A10, A15, A16, A9, B3, Journal News (JN), 7A US "survey finds rising stress between rich and poor" and that is becoming defined today as those who are "secure" and those who are "unemployed". And that means more work for our police forces in middle class suburbs - as well as searches for someone else (some other one) to blame (to scapegoat). ""Do the rich (employed) and poor (unemployed) have the same goals ?" Americans are running away from both major parties, the feminist-faggot, impotent and emasculate Democrats and the brain-dead Republicans, none of whom have any adequate common goals.
"Undeserved wealth and a (lack of) fairness", whether that perception is true or not, is a recipe for civil unrest and civil war. The divide between "populist and capitalist" is a real one. But someone saying "greed is good", while not necessarily wrong, is also waving a red flag before a bull - in addition to being brain-dead. In 32 countries that produce materials that can make an A-bomb -including the US- security is pretty poor. The "EPA's online map shows the biggest greenhouse gas (and heart and lung disease causing, cancer causing, genetic damage causing...) emitters". "Economic troubles are top risks in 2012" and beyond. "Income disparities and chronic fiscal imbalances...(could lead to disaster and to the extinction of) the human race...(We can not afford all the promises made,) social protections, pensions, entitlements...Global warming, computer attacks, water supply disruptions, natural disasters, terrorist attacks, US-Israel attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities, social upheaval in India and China, global financial collapse (all these and more will occur in 2012)...A Chrystal ball (is far better than our) old assumptions (about reality as today's) culture and context" is radically changed from yesterday's. "Astronomers see more planets...in (just our own Milky Way) galaxy".
There could be several times more than the 100 billion stars in it -and that is an awful lot of unclaimed and -as yet unowned- real estate. Indeed, finding, developing and settling on these new planets is the adequate common goal the human race needs to get behind in order to prevent our otherwise imminent extinction.
MY JOURNAL/BLOG
PRODIGIES by Oliver Sacks, MD (New Yorker Magazine, p.44, Jan., 1995)
"Can an artist ... make art ... without feeling it ?" As I've read, the creative work itself often "hijacks the creator" to its own purposes. What is a "savant" ? Many are "idiot savants...autistic and retarded", yet many are not. And these savants struggle life-long to try and define what it is that they do -or dont do- "without the need to understand or interpret" it. It seems that a "wholly different mode of perception and mind" is involved - the immediate experiential perception at that particular present
moment as opposed to common cultural modes of expression (derived from the past, from language itself). Each (particular) moment (of the 'eternal' present) stands out distinctly" and not as defined and mediated by language and shared concepts. Savants could be called "Foolish Wise Ones", "childlike"..."Can one be an artist...without having a 'self' ?" In truth, as a Traumatic Brain Injury(TBI) Survivor, one who is burdened by many disabilities, I have that problem. The particular disability I refer to here is a shiver, not unlike what a Temporal Lobe Epilepsy (TLE)...sufferer has. What my particular brand seems to do leaves my limited human conscious mind a voyeur to what my non-consciously aware brain perceives and does -and often involuntarily directs me to do, especially concerning sex and women (you see, another of my innumerous disabilities is hypersexuality). But apparently some such savants have a total absence of self-consciousness (mine, at times, is a very embarrassing overload of the unconscious selves of others, women and men both [faggots and their perversity are the worst], that which is known as flooding to the TBI community). Savants are prey to "literalness (are) naive" and they have a "very limited ability to imagine others states of mind" - they have little empathy (all sounding like a description of a TBI survivor). Savants have "prodigious powers of abstract and visual pattern recognition" ; I've also read that that is a characteristic of the very intelligent. Indeed, for savants, life seems to "flow through them like a river without making sense". As a TBI survivor, such occurs to me as well. But I work hard to make some sense of it. Savants talents are "not to be defined by" any normal language and categorization system. Savants appear to have "no spontaneous 'real' self ' " which sounds like the "perseverative" and "initiative" disabilities neurosurgeons, neurologists, neuropsychiatrists, psychiatrists, neuropsychologists...have said I am disabled with and by. They call it ODD (Organic Delusional Disorder) - and they and I agree on that one thing at least - I am odd. "Savant powers are not normal...they are not connected with the rest of the person". But my "powers" are "connected with the rest of" me, although who is in charge changes all the time. For "TBI survivors...(who, like me, have) frontal lobe damage (such leads to) impairment of abstract categorization capacity...(There is a "normal") "range of emotions and states of mind that define a self" and savants and TBI survivors do not fit within that definition of normality. Savant talents seem to be "wholly nonverbal and nonconceptive", not expressible in normal human language. And that is so because they are from non-conscious awareness, the 'eternal' present.
AGAINST THE FOG (coma survivors) AFTER TBI A 34 year old lawyer has "trouble remembering what he should remember" while another supplies "what I am supposed to remember", saying "Lots of things distract me, including what is going on inside my head". A woman says "when I start to feel things, it takes on a life of its own" - and indeed I remember all the like times for me. And that those recur constantly..
ARMY MAGAZINE, p.26, May, 1996 "War in the Information Age...War is an act of force to compel an enemy to do what he otherwise would not do...Rendering enemies harmless is the only certain way of imposing your will on them...(Today) sociopolitical groups are appearing outside of states yet they wage war nevertheless...Most 'intelligence' is unreliable because it is based on assumptions, hunches...The easiest way to win is to destroy/change the enemies mind".
NEWSWEEK, 6-28-93 "Where do great minds (including those of performance artists...) come from ?...Genius is...intelligence, expertise, creativity, iconoclasm, introversion, "intellectual rambling", obsessive work, childlikeness, a combination of youth and maturity...Compulsivity (and) risk-taking are part, and intellectual crises" are potent motivators and manipulators. And there is so much more involved.
Obama, a doddering old woman, a fool ; he is a socialist in the making
NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- President Obama is meeting with executives from 14 companies Wednesday to encourage them to bring jobs back to the United States.
The so-called "Insourcing American Jobs" forum at the White House includes leaders from Ford (F, Fortune 500), DuPont (DD, Fortune 500), Intel (INTC, Fortune 500), Otis Elevators and Rolls Royce, among others.
Obama battles job crisis
Before Obama even took office, America had lost 4.4 million jobs. Track his progress since then.
"I'm calling on those businesses that haven't brought jobs back to take this opportunity to get the American people back to work," Obama said in prepared remarks (such an ass he smells like pork). "That's how we'll rebuild an economy where hard work pays off and responsibility is rewarded -- and a nation where those values live on." (NEVER WILL HAPPEN AS LONG AS WE ARE DROWNING IN FEMINIST-FAGGOT BULLSHIT AND A LACK OF ADEQUATE COMMON GOALS)
The remarks come as the latest Labor Department data point to the manufacturing sector as a bright spot in the recovery, adding 334,000 jobs over the last two years.
Obama wants that trend to continue and, on Wednesday, he pledged to announce new tax proposals in the next few weeks. The White House said the new proposals would reward companies that choose to invest or bring back jobs to the United States, and eliminate tax advantages for companies moving jobs overseas.
LONDON (Reuters) - Hedge funds are positioning to profit from a plan to slash Greece's towering debt pile as Athens enters final talks that could sway the country's membership of the euro.(IN TRUTH, GREECE LONG AGO WAS ON THE WAY OUT OF THE EURO ZONE)
York Capital, the $14 billion fund part-owned by Swiss banking giant Credit Suisse , New York-listed Och Ziff , and $10 billion-strong Marathon Asset Management are among those who collectively may have built up sufficiently large positions to scupper the bailout deal (EVERYBODY IS PREPARING TO BLAME SOMEONE ELSE FOR THE COMING COLLAPSE OF THE WORLD ECONOMY WHEN NO ONE IS REALLY TO BLAME BUT OUR FEMINIST-FAGGOT BULLSHIT WORLDVIEW), several sources close to the debt restructuring told Reuters.
The deal asks creditors to voluntarily write down 50 percent of the notional value of their bond holdings. But hedge funds may opt out, hoping that Athens will let them get away with it to save itself political embarassment. (AND THEY ARE PLAYING BY THE RULES OF OUR CURRENT FEMINIST-FAGGOT WORLDVIEW SO -IN ONE SENSE- HOW CAN WE BLAME THEM ?)
"I think we'll hold out. People are so slow in Europe and by the time they've got everything in place logistically this might be the one window where investors might be paid back in full," said one hedge fund manager who owns Greek bonds.
FRANKFURT (Reuters) - The European Central Bank's flood of cheap three-year money is helping the euro zone's banking system substantially and supporting confidence in the bloc's economy which is showing some signs of stabilization, its president said on Thursday. (I WONDER WHAT HE IS SMOKING ?)
'Doomsday Clock'
UPDATE: The 'Doomsday Clock' has been moved forward. We're now 5 'minutes from midnight.' View a live stream of the announcement and rationale here.
Humanity will soon be getting an update on how close we are to catastrophic destruction, as scientists and security experts decide whether to nudge the hands of the famous "Doomsday Clock" forward toward midnight — and doom — or back toward security and safety.
The clock, in use as a symbol of imminent apocalypse since 1947, now stands at six minutes to midnight. On Tuesday (Jan. 10), the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (BAS) will announce whether they will nudge the minute hand forward or backward to reflect current trends in world security. The last time the clock hand moved was in 2010, when the group moved the hand from five minutes to midnight back to six.
In making the decision, the Bulletin considers the current state of nuclear weapons, climate change and biosecurity, along with other issues that could influence humanity's survival. The closest the clock has been to midnight has been 11:57 p.m., set in 1984 when the U.S. and the Soviet Union were in a diplomatic stand-off and tensions were high. The farthest humanity has ever been from destruction, according to the clock, was in 1991, when the Doomsday Clock stood at 17 minutes to midnight. That year, the Cold War over, the U.S. and Russia began cutting their arsenals.
The clock ticked back toward midnight at the next update in 1995, however, when hopes of total nuclear disarmament began to fade. That update set the hands at 14 minutes until midnight. In recent years, the clock has ticked closer to destruction as the Bulletin has focused on concerns about nuclear terrorism and climate change.
The 2010 shift away from doomsday was due to nuclear agreements between the U.S. and Russia and productive climate talks at Copenhagen.
The announcement of the new "doomsday time" will come at 1 p.m. Eastern Standard Time on Tuesday. The Bulletin is expected to consider factors ranging from Iran's nuclear program to the aftermath of the Fukushima nuclear plant disaster to the state of policy on climate change.
Anatolia gas pipeline races towards reality
Russia's Prime Minister Vladimir Putin's decision to bring forward construction of the Black Sea South Stream pipeline adds urgency to a project that has no gas to supply it and no purchase commitments. In contrast, Azerbaijan and Turkey move the up-to-US$9 billion Trans-Anatolian Gas Pipeline, also targeting Europe, ever closer to actuality. - Robert M Cutler
Shale gas turns energy tables
The proliferation of interest in extracting gas from shale rock may transform the global balance of power in the energy industry, as countries at present dependent on imports for oil and other fuels discover and exploit shale gas resources that could lead to them becoming energy exporters. - Humberto Marquez
World’s fifteen most powerful countries in 2012
22:01, 29 December 2011
By James Rogers and Luis Simón
In recent years, particularly since the 2007-2009 financial crisis in North America and Western Europe, there has been much speculation over the changing balance of power in the world.
.......................
We also think it is important not to underestimate the established powers’ positions:..............
We have therefore sought to produce a table ranking the world’s fifteen most powerful countries for 2012 (see above). ......... some attributes of national power cannot be objectively verified using quantitative methods).
.............. Aggregated national power takes into consideration geographic position; financial power; industrial output; military might (i.e. ‘power projection’ and/or ability of defence); alliance membership; educational attainment; cultural attraction; population size; historical reputation, militarily, politically and economically; government capacity and efficiency; national cohesion; and potential over the next ten years.... planetary reach is based on five categories:
Superpower – a country with systemic power, in almost every continent, including a top-tier industrial economy, a comprehensive global military footprint (or ability to defend itself against any other power) and enormous cultural attraction;
Potential superpower – a country (or union) with the potential to reach the status of a superpower within the next decade, conditional on various political and economic reforms;
Great power (global) – a country lacking the heft or comprehensive attributes of a superpower, but still with a wide footprint in all or most geographic regions................
Great power (regional) – a country lacking the comprehensive attributes of a superpower, or even the reach of a global power, but with a strong and highly concentrated regional footprint, perhaps extending to the nearest zones of adjacent continents;
Middle power – a country with significant influence in its local vicinage, perhaps courted by superior powers due to its regional importance or reputation.
Rethinking the global economy in 2012
By SETH J. FRANTZMAN
01/03/2012 21:56
The economic forecast for this year isn’t all bad, but there are definitely changes in the air.
For some reason financial “experts” are predicting a good year in 2012.
That is all well and good except.............
.................
Nuclear power is the clean innovation of the future (FISSION, LIKE JAPAN'S - AND THE WORLD FULL OF TERRORISTS ?), a 20th-century technology that is perfect for the 21st century’s interest in clean energy. But the tsunami in Japan led to widespread irrational fears, and nuclear power is being rolled back. In the end this will be a long-term disaster for Europe and other places, as economies continue to rely on fossil fuels.
In thinking about fossil fuels (WE NEED TO STOP USING THEM COMPLETELY)
Because of turmoil in the Arab world the oil fields in Iraq and Libya remain threatened and the Iranian problem casts a shadow over the future price of oil. At the same time the West’s dreams of electric car technology are not being realized. Only 6,142 Chevy Volts were sold in 2011 and only 8,720 Nissan Leefs. By contrast 11,375 Ford Focuses were sold in just November 2011.
This year is going to see several continuing trends. The “occupy” movement and various populist anti-capitalist protests will remain. At the same time the “second world” will continue to outpace the first, with the strengthening of the Chinese Yuan to record levels and reports that the Brazilian economy has overtaken that of the UK. Interest rates will remain high in Europe and the US dollar will remain pressured by the fact that US has no good plan to repay its deficit or balance its budget.
..............the long-term structural problems associated with European monetary integration and US debt issues have not been resolved.
The writer has a PhD from the Hebrew University and is a fellow at the Jerusalem Institute for Market Studies
Climate Change, Migration, and Conflict
Addressing Complex Crisis Scenarios in the 21st Century
(ACCORDING TO OUR OIL, GAS, COAL...PRODUCERS WE HAVE NOTHING TO FEAR FROM GLOBAL WARMING ; THOSE CONSUMMATE ASSES)
By Michael Werz, Laura Conley | January 3, 2012
The costs and consequences of climate change on our world will define the 21st century. Even if nations across our planet were to take immediate steps to rein in carbon emissions—an unlikely prospect—a warmer climate is inevitable. As the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, or IPCC, noted in 2007, human-created “warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as is now evident from observations of increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, widespread melting of snow and ice and rising global average sea level.”
As these ill effects progress they will have serious implications for U.S. national security interests as well as global stability—extending from the sustainability of coastal military installations to the stability of nations that lack the resources, good governance, and resiliency needed to respond to the many adverse consequences of climate change. And as these effects accelerate, the stress will impact human migration and conflict around the world.
It is difficult to fully understand the detailed causes of migration and economic and political instability, but the growing evidence of links between climate change, migration, and conflict raise plenty of reasons for concern.....................
In the coming decades climate change will increasingly threaten humanity’s shared interests and collective security in many parts of the world, disproportionately affecting the globe’s least developed countries. Climate change will pose challenging social, political, and strategic questions for the many different multinational, regional, national, and nonprofit (BULLSHITING DO-GOODERS WITH NOTHING BETTER TO DO ; FEMINIST-FAGGOT "IDEALISTS" OF ALL KINDS WHO HAVE NO ADEQUATE COMMON GOALS) organizations dedicated to improving the human condition worldwide............
Climate change also poses distinct challenges to U.S. national security. Recent intelligence reports ........., vulnerable regions (particularly sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East, South and Southeast Asia) will face the prospect of food shortages, water crises, and catastrophic flooding driven by climate change...
...........nexus across our planet and offer wideranging recommendations about how the United States, its allies in the global community, and the community at large can deal with the COMING climate-driven crises with comprehensive sustainable security solutions encompassing national security, diplomacy, and economic, social, and environmental development.
..............
The nexus
The Arab Spring can be at least partly credited to climate change. Rising food prices and efforts by authoritarian regimes to crush political protests were linked first to food and then to political repression—two important motivators in the Arab makeover this past year.
To be sure, longstanding economic and social distress and lack of opportunity for so many Arab youth in the Middle East and across North Africa only needed a spark to ignite revolutions across the region. But environmental degradation and the movement of people from rural areas to already overcrowded cities alongside rising food prices enabled the cumulative effects of long-term economic and political failures to sweep across borders with remarkable agility.
...................
Climate change
Climate change alone poses a daunting challenge. No matter what steps the global community takes to mitigate carbon emissions, a warmer climate is inevitable. The effects are already being felt today and will intensify as climate change worsens. ALL of the world’s regions and nations will experience some of the effects of this transformational challenge (AND THOSE THAT DONT WILL EXPERIENCE MASSIVE IN-MIGRATION OF REFUGEES).
................................
Migration
Migration adds another layer of complexity to the scenario. In the 21st century the world could see substantial numbers of climate migrants—people displaced by either the slow or sudden onset of the effects of climate change. The United Nations’ recent Human Development Report stated that, worldwide, there are ALREADY an estimated 700 million internal migrants—those leaving their homes within their own countries—a number that includes people whose migration is related to climate change and environmental factors. Overall migration across national borders is already at approximately 214 million people worldwide, with estimates of up to 20 million displaced in 2008 alone because of a rising sea level, desertification, and flooding.
............................
But even though the root causes of human mobility are not always easy to deciphe numbers that range from ...........200 million to 1 billion migrants from climate change alone, by 2050..... arguing that “environmental drivers of migration are often coupled with economic, social and developmental factors that can accelerate and to a certain extent mask the impact of climate change.”
.....................climate change is expected to aggravate many existing migratory pressures around the world. Indeed associated extreme weather events resulting in drought, floods, and disease are projected to increase the number of sudden (!!!) humanitarian crises and disasters in areas least able to cope, such as those already mired in poverty or prone to conflict.
Conflict
This final layer is the most unpredictable, both within nations and transnationally, and will force the United States and the international community to confront climate and migration challenges within an increasingly unstructured local or regional security environment. In contrast to the great power conflicts and the associated proxy wars that marked most of the 20th century, the immediate post-Cold War decades witnessed a diffusion of national security interests and threats. U.S. national security policy is increasingly integrating thinking about nonstate actors and nontraditional sources of conflict and instability, for example in the fight against Al Qaeda and its affiliated groups.
.........................
The climate-conflict nexus was highlighted with particular effect by the current U.S. administration’s security-planning reviews over the past two years, as well as the Center for Naval Analysis, which termed climate change a “threat multiplier,”
.................... a rising sea level, growing extreme weather events, and other anticipated effects of climate change (AND SUCH WILL OCCUR EVER MORE EVERY DAY FROM NOW ON). The U.S. Department of Defense has even voiced concern for American military installations that may be threatened by a rising sea level.
There is also well-developed international analysis on these points. The United Kingdom’s 2010 Defense Review, for example, referenced the security aspects of climate change as an evolving challenge for militaries and policymakers. Additionally, in 2010, the Nigerian governmen............climate change is no longer seen as solely scientific or environmental, but increasingly as a social and political issue cutting across all aspects of human development.
As these three threads—climate change, migration, and conflict—interact more intensely, the consequences will be far-reaching and occasionally counterintuitive (!!!!!!!). It is impossible to predict the outcome................
Areas of concern
Several regional hotspots frequently come up in the international debate on climate change, migration, and conflict. Climate migrants in northwest Africa (ETHIOPIA, EGYPT, LIBYA, SUDAN, SOMALIS, KENYA, LIBYA...)
......................
Bangladesh, already well known for its disastrous floods, faces rising waters in the future due to climate-driven glacial meltdowns in neighboring India. The effects can hardly be over. In December 2008 the National Defense University in Washington, D.C., ran an exercise that explored the impact of a flood that sent hundreds of thousands of refugees into neighboring India. The result: the exercise predicted a new wave of migration would touch off religious conflicts (!!!!!!!!!), encourage the spread of contagious diseases, and cause vast damage to infrastructure.
India itself is not in a position to absorb climate-induced pressures—never mind foreign climate migrants. The country will contribute 22 percent of global population growth and have close to 1.6 billion inhabitants by 2050, causing demographic developments that are sure to spark waves of internal migration across the country.
Then there’s the Andean region of South America, where melting glaciers and snowcaps will drive climate, migration, and security concerns. The average rate of glacial melting has doubled over the past few years, according to the World Glacier Monitoring Service. Besides Peru (MACCHU PICCU, AGUAS CALIENTES AND THE FARMS ALL ABOUT), which faces the gravest consequences in Latin America, a number of other Andean countries will be massively affected, including Bolivia, Ecuador, and Colombia. This development will put water security, agricultural production, and power generation at risk—all factors that could prompt people to leave their homes and migrate. The IPCC report argues that the region is especially vulnerable because of its fragile ecosystem.
These four regions of the world—northwest Africa, India and Bangladesh, the Andean region, and China (!!!!)—will require global, regional, and local policies to deal with the consequences of climate change, migration, and conflict.
Finally, China is now in its fourth decade of ever-growing internal migration, some of it driven in recent years by environmental change. Today, across its vast territory, China continues to experience the full spectrum of climate change-related consequences that have the potential to continue to encourage such migration. The Center for a New American Security recently found that the consequences of climate change and continued internal migration in China include “water stress; increased droughts, flooding, or other severe events; increased coastal erosion and saltwater inundation; glacial melt in the Himalayas that could affect hundreds of millions; and shifting agricultural zones”—all of which will affect food supplies.
These four regions of the world—northwest Africa, India and Bangladesh, the Andean region, and China(!!!!)—will require global, regional, and local policies to deal with the consequences of climate change, migration, and conflict. Alas, such policies that might be effective in these complex crisis environments cannot be designed within the existing global institutional framework. There are many reasons for this.
In the United States, as in many other developed nations, the defense, diplomacy, and economic and social development silos are not adept at analyzing the input of a broad range of policy fields in combination with direct dialogue with the people of the affected regions. From Europe’s perspective, the fragmented nature of the continent’s reaction to rising climate migrants from Africa stands out. From the perspective of regional powers such as India, China, Brazil, and South Africa, there are yet again different sets of policy priorities that block action. And from the perspective of multilateral organizations, there is another set of policy disconnects.
Yet action is critical. Environmentally induced migration, resource conflicts, and unstable states will not only have an impact upon the nations where they occur, but also on the United States and the broader international community. (WE NEED ADEQUATE COMMON GOALS FOR THE WHOLE HUMAN RACE - PRIMARILY SURVIVAL SO WE EACH CAN WORK TO THRIVE, BE AND BECOME CONTENTED AND COMFORTABLE)
Moving forward
The interplay of migration, climate change, and conflict is complex and will be with us for the long term. Nevertheless, the uncertainty surrounding the exact causality should not be a reason for ignoring this key nexus. And while the causal relationship may not always be clear, the lines of inquiry moving forward are becoming apparent. To understand this nexus, we will need to ask, for example, what role mediating factors such as economic opportunity, levels of development, health indicators, and legal status will play in the relationship between climate change and migration. It will be equally critical to determine whether there is a threshold at which the effects of climate change could be significant enough to cause migration directly, or at what level of climate change it will become the most important of several migration “push” factors.
Additionally, we should ask whether climate change will alter the composition of migrant communities. Migrants, after all, are not necessarily the most desperate or destitute of their countrymen and women. Migrations, particularly across international borders, often require means. Could a significant increase in extreme weather events or long-term shifts in climate norms alter this dynamic, and what would be the implications of that shift?
Some instances of the complete climate, migration, and conflict nexus exist to guide the examination of these questions. Consider, for example, the Second Tuareg Rebellion in Mali in 1990. British economist Nicholas Stern argues that drought in Mali in the decades preceding the conflict contributed to local and international migration. Those who later tried to return found a “lack of social support networks for returning migrants, continuing drought, and competition for resources between nomadic and settled people,” all of which were among the factors that sparked the rebellion.
Jeffrey Mazo at the International Institute of Strategic Studies adds that the forced migration ultimately pushed some young men into Algeria and Libya, “where many were radicalized”—a dangerous development in an already unstable region. In past months refugees from Qaddafi’s former regime in Libya have been taking refuge with the Tuareg along the borders of Libya, Algeria, and Mali.
Imagine similar migration-fueled conflicts in India and Bangladesh, the Andean region, and in China. We can’t know how they might develop but we do know the three ingredients—climate change, migration, and conflict. From the perspective of a forward-looking policymaker, situations like this suggest that the uncertainty that still surrounds the climate, migration, and conflict nexus requires greater attention when it comes to security solutions, not less...Our objective is to develop a robust contemporary notion of sustainable (NOT POSSIBLE WITHOUT ADEQUATE COMMON GOALS SUCH AS FINDING AND SETTLING ON NEW PLANET EARTHS) security that effectively integrates defense, diplomacy, and development into a comprehensive policy designed to deal with today’s global threats while preventing future threats from occurring.
We delve into these recommendations in detail at the end of this paper but in this section we briefly explain how we believe the international community, the United States, its allies, and key regional players can together create a sustainable security situation to deal with climate change, migration, and conflict. Specifically they must:
Conduct federal government institutional reform in the United States that addresses the development-security relationship and that prioritizes planning for long-term humanitarian consequences of climate change and migration as a core national security issue
Develop strategies to strengthen intergovernmental cooperation on transboundary risks in different regions of the world
Increase funding (WITH THE ONGOING WORLDWIDE ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF TODAY ?) for the Global Climate Change Initiative
Ensure better information flows and more effective disaster response for early-warning systems
Support the best science to expand our understanding of specific circumstances such as desertification, rainfall variability, disaster occurrence, and coastal erosion, and their relation to human migration and conflict
Identify regions most vulnerable to climate-induced migration, both forced and voluntary, in order to target aid, information, and contingency-planning capabilities
View migration as a proactive adaptation strategy for local populations under pressure due to increased environmental change
A truly sustainable approach to security, then, requires us not only to look at the traditional security threats posed by the interaction between states, but also to understand that the security of the United States is advanced by promoting the individual well-being of people across the developing world, and by embracing collective responses to shared threats posed by climate change. We turn first to understanding the dynamics of those threats.
(ALL OF THESE "CONTINGENCIES" WILL OCCUR IN ONE WAY OR ANOTHER - BECAUSE WE HAVE NO ADEQUATE COMMON GOALS)
Tier 1:
Tier I are contingencies that directly threaten the U.S. homeland, are likely to trigger U.S. military involvement because of treaty commitments, or threaten the supplies of critical U.S. strategic resources.
They include:
— a mass casualty attack on the U.S. homeland or on a treaty ally: 3
— a severe North Korean crisis (e.g., armed provocations, internal political instability, advances in nuclear weapons/ICBM capability): 4
— a major military incident with China involving U.S. or allied forces: 2
— an Iranian nuclear crisis (e.g., surprise advances in nuclear weapons/delivery capability, Israeli response): 5
— a highly disruptive cyberattack on U.S. critical infrastructure (e.g., telecommunications, electrical power, gas and oil, water supply, banking and finance, transportation, and emergency services): 4
— a significant increase in drug tracking violence in Mexico that spills over into the United States: 4
— severe internal instability in Pakistan, triggered by a civil-military crisis or terror attacks: 4
— political instability in Saudi Arabia that endangers global oil supplies: 3
— a U.S.-Pakistan military confrontation, triggered by a terror attack or U.S. counterterror operations: 4
— intensification of the European sovereign debt crisis that leads to the collapse of the euro, triggering a double-dip U.S. recession and further limiting budgetary resources: 5
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